Shadow Wars
America's Secret Wars in 134+ Countries
On October 4, 2017, four US soldiers were killed in an ambush in Niger. Most Americans — including senior members of Congress — didn't know the US had troops in Niger. Senator Lindsey Graham, a member of the Armed Services Committee, admitted: “I didn't know there was 1,000 troops in Niger.” This is American warfare in the 21st century: fought in the shadows, in countries most citizens can't find on a map, under legal authorities most lawyers can't explain, funded by budgets that are literally classified. The Founders gave Congress the power to declare war. That power has been stolen.
134+
Countries with US SOF
70% of the world's nations
70,000+
Special Operators
Largest SOF in world history
$13.1B
SOCOM Budget (FY2023)
Plus classified supplements
22+
Countries Under 2001 AUMF
From 60 words written for Al-Qaeda
What Are Shadow Wars?
Shadow wars are military operations conducted with minimal public knowledge, congressional oversight, or media scrutiny. They include special operations raids, drone strikes, covert CIA paramilitary operations, “training and advisory” missions that involve combat, proxy warfare through local forces, and cyber operations. They are the default mode of American warfare in the 21st century.
The US Special Operations Command (SOCOM) has grown from 37,000 personnel on 9/11 to over 70,000 today — the largest special operations force in world history. Special operators deployed to 134 countries in 2021, according to the Costs of War Project at Brown University — roughly 70% of the nations on Earth. In any given week, US special forces are conducting operations on every continent except Antarctica.
The appeal of shadow wars is obvious: they're politically cheap. No large troop deployments that generate public opposition. No body bags on the nightly news (usually). No congressional votes that force politicians to take a position. No declarations of war that trigger legal obligations. The president can wage war in dozens of countries simultaneously and most Americans will never know.
That's exactly the problem. Democracy requires informed consent. The American public cannot consent to wars it doesn't know about, in countries it can't find on a map, against enemies it's never heard of, under legal authorities it doesn't understand. Shadow wars are, by design, wars without democratic accountability.
JSOC: The President's Secret Army
The Joint Special Operations Command (JSOC) is the most elite and secretive military command in the US armed forces. Its existence was classified until the 1990s. Its budget is still classified. Its operations are almost never acknowledged publicly.
JSOC commands the military's most elite units: Delta Force (1st Special Forces Operational Detachment-Delta, Army), DEVGRU (SEAL Team Six, Navy), the 24th Special Tactics Squadron (Air Force), and the Intelligence Support Activity(ISA — a classified intelligence unit whose very name changes regularly to avoid detection).
Under the command of General Stanley McChrystal (2003–2008) and later Admiral William McRaven, JSOC was transformed from a hostage rescue force into a global manhunting machine. At its peak in Iraq, JSOC was conducting 300 raids per month — ten per night — a pace of killing and capturing that was industrial in scale. McChrystal described the model as a “network to fight a network.”
JSOC reports directly to the Secretary of Defense and the President, bypassing normal military chains of command. This gives the White House a private military force that can conduct lethal operations worldwide with extraordinary speed and minimal bureaucratic friction — and minimal congressional oversight.
As journalist Jeremy Scahill documented in Dirty Wars, JSOC operates under a “find, fix, finish, exploit, analyze” (F3EA) cycle that turns intelligence into killing at unprecedented speed. A target is identified, located, killed, the site is exploited for intelligence, and that intelligence generates new targets — an assembly line of death that operates 24/7/365 across multiple continents.
Where America Is Secretly Fighting
Africa
Countries
Somalia, Niger, Mali, Libya, Tunisia, Cameroon, Chad, Nigeria, Kenya, Djibouti, Uganda, Central African Republic, South Sudan, Burkina Faso, Mauritania
Operations: ~6,000 special operators across the continent. Camp Lemonnier (Djibouti): $600M base, 4,000+ personnel. Drone bases in Niger ($110M), Somalia, Kenya.
Key incidents: Tongo Tongo ambush (Niger, Oct 4, 2017): 4 Green Berets killed in a country most Americans didn't know had US troops. Took 48 hours for military to recover Sgt. La David Johnson's body. Investigation revealed mission had been unauthorized at the level conducted.
AFRICOM conducted 36 named operations in Africa in 2020 alone. Most received zero media coverage.
Middle East
Countries
Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Lebanon, Jordan, Saudi Arabia (training), UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait
Operations: Ongoing counterterrorism operations in Syria and Iraq. Support for Saudi-led coalition in Yemen (until 2022). Special operations raids. Drone strikes.
Key incidents: US forces remain in Syria with ~900 troops — no congressional authorization, no AUMF applicability, no clear legal basis. In Iraq, ~2,500 troops remain under "advise and assist" mission.
The 2001 AUMF, which authorized force against those responsible for 9/11, has been stretched to justify operations against groups that didn't exist in 2001, in countries that had nothing to do with 9/11.
Southeast Asia / Pacific
Countries
Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Australia, Japan, South Korea, Singapore
Operations: Operation Pacific Eagle (Philippines) — 300+ special operators assisting Philippine forces against Abu Sayyaf and ISIS-affiliated groups. Joint training across region.
Key incidents: Battle of Marawi (Philippines, 2017): US special forces and surveillance aircraft supported Philippine military in 5-month siege. US role minimally reported.
The "Pacific pivot" has expanded special operations presence across the Indo-Pacific, often under "training" and "advisory" authorities that avoid congressional oversight.
Central/South America
Countries
Colombia, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, Peru, Mexico (limited)
Operations: Counter-narcotics operations. Training and advisory missions. Intelligence sharing. Joint Task Force Bravo (Honduras): 500+ US personnel.
Key incidents: DEA agents directly participated in firefights in Honduras. US-trained special forces units in Colombia and Honduras linked to human rights abuses.
Much of this activity occurs under Title 10 (military) and Title 50 (intelligence) authorities that have minimal reporting requirements.
Somalia: America's Longest Shadow War
The US has been conducting strikes in Somalia continuously since 2007 — making it one of America's longest-running military campaigns. Most Americans have no idea.
Under the 2001 AUMF (written for the perpetrators of 9/11), the US wages war against Al-Shabaab — a group that didn't formally exist until 2006 and has no capability to attack the US homeland. The legal justification: Al-Shabaab has ties to Al-Qaeda. By this logic, the 60 words of the 2001 AUMF authorize force against any group, anywhere, that has any association with any group that has any association with Al-Qaeda — potentially forever.
By the numbers: The US conducted approximately 280+ airstrikes in Somalia between 2007 and 2024. Under Trump, who revoked Obama-era civilian protection rules and designated parts of Somalia as “areas of active hostilities,” strikes tripled. Biden initially paused strikes, then resumed them. At least 1,200–1,750 people have been killed.
In May 2022, Biden reauthorized a persistent US military presence in Somalia after Trump had ordered troops withdrawn. Approximately 500 US special operators now rotate through the country. None of this was debated or voted on by Congress. No war was declared. The American public was barely informed.
Terror Tuesdays: The President's Kill List
In 2012, the New York Times revealed that President Obama personally maintained a “kill list” — a roster of suspected terrorists designated for assassination by drone strike or special operations raid. Every Tuesday, in the Oval Office, the president reviewed the list with his national security team, studying the “baseball cards” (intelligence profiles) of each target and deciding who would live and who would die.
Bush authorizes CIA to kill or capture Al-Qaeda leaders. First "kill list" is informal — a deck of playing cards.
First drone strike outside Afghanistan: CIA Predator kills 6 people in Yemen, including a US citizen (Kamal Derwish). No judicial review.
Obama inherits the kill list and formalizes it. Develops the "disposition matrix" — a database of suspects with recommended actions (capture, kill, monitor).
ACLU sues to challenge the government's authority to kill US citizens without trial. Court dismisses the case, ruling the father of target Anwar al-Awlaki lacks standing.
September 30: CIA drone strike kills US citizen Anwar al-Awlaki in Yemen. No indictment, no trial, no due process. Two weeks later: a second strike kills his 16-year-old US citizen son, Abdulrahman. White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs suggests the boy should have "had a more responsible father."
NY Times reveals Obama personally reviews the kill list every "Terror Tuesday" in the Oval Office. The president of the United States is choosing who lives and who dies based on intelligence briefings, with no judicial oversight.
DOJ "White Paper" leaked: claims the president can order the killing of a US citizen if an "informed, high-level official" determines the target poses an "imminent threat" — but redefines "imminent" to not require evidence of a specific planned attack.
Trump revokes Obama-era Presidential Policy Guidance requiring high-level approval for strikes. Authority delegated to field commanders. Drone strikes triple in Somalia.
January 3: US drone strike kills Iranian General Qasem Soleimani at Baghdad airport. No congressional notification. Brought the US to the brink of war with Iran.
August 29: US drone strike in Kabul kills Zemari Ahmadi, a humanitarian aid worker, and 9 family members including 7 children. Pentagon initially claims it was a "righteous strike" against ISIS-K. Investigation reveals the target was loading water containers, not explosives. No one punished.
Signature Strikes: Killing the Unknown
Beyond the “personality strikes” that target named individuals, the US conducts “signature strikes” — attacks on people whose identity is unknown but whose behavior matches patterns associated with terrorism. A group of military-age men loading a truck. People exercising in a formation. Vehicles traveling in convoy near a border.
The most chilling aspect: under Obama-era counting rules, any military-age male killed in a strike zone was classified as a combatant unless posthumously proven otherwise. This means every man between roughly 15 and 65 killed in a signature strike was automatically counted as a militant — even though the government didn't know who he was when it killed him. The dead cannot prove their innocence.
This accounting trick dramatically understates civilian casualties. When the government reports that a strike killed “12 militants and 0 civilians,” what it often means is: “We killed 12 people we can't identify, and since they were military-age males in a strike zone, we're calling them militants.”
The Bureau of Investigative Journalism, Airwars, and other independent monitors consistently find civilian casualty figures many times higher than official US numbers. A 2017 Columbia Law School study found the US government's civilian casualty count was likely underestimated by a factor of 4 to 12.
The Legal Framework: How Secret Wars Are “Authorized”
2001 AUMF (Authorization for Use of Military Force)
September 14, 2001Scope: 60 words. Intended to authorize force against Al-Qaeda and the Taliban. Has been stretched to justify operations in 22+ countries against groups that didn't exist on 9/11.
Used for: Used to justify operations against ISIS (founded 2013), Al-Shabaab (Somalia), AQAP (Yemen), ISIS-K (Afghanistan), and dozens of other groups with tenuous or no connection to 9/11.
Congressional vote: House: 420-1 (Barbara Lee dissented). Senate: 98-0. Total debate time: ~3 hours. No amendments allowed.
Cost: Total cost of operations under 2001 AUMF: $8+ trillion (2001-2024, Costs of War Project)
Section 1202 Authority
2018 NDAAScope: Creates a legal framework for the US to support proxy forces and paramilitaries worldwide with minimal congressional notification.
Used for: Classified. The exact operations conducted under Section 1202 are not publicly known. Reporting requirements to Congress are minimal — 15-day notification, classified briefing.
Congressional vote: Passed as part of larger defense bill with minimal debate. Most members unaware of Section 1202's implications.
Cost: Budget allocation classified. Estimated $3-5 billion annually (Stephanie Savell, Brown University)
Article II Commander-in-Chief Authority
ConstitutionalScope: Essentially unlimited as interpreted by modern presidents. Used to justify everything from Libya bombing to Syria strikes to Iranian general assassinations.
Used for: Every president since Truman has used Article II authority to conduct military operations without congressional authorization. The War Powers Resolution (1973) was supposed to check this — it has been ignored by every president since.
Congressional vote: Constitutional provision. War Powers Resolution passed in 1973 over Nixon's veto.
Cost: Impossible to calculate — encompasses most military operations since 1950
Title 50 Covert Action Authority
National Security Act of 1947, amendedScope: CIA operations are classified by definition. Oversight is limited to the "Gang of Eight" — the top 4 leaders of each chamber and the chairs/ranking members of the intelligence committees.
Used for: CIA paramilitary operations, drone strikes (pre-2013), arming insurgent groups, regime change operations. By definition, the US government denies these activities exist.
Congressional vote: Original National Security Act passed 253-136 in House, 47-36 in Senate. Amendments classified.
Cost: CIA budget classified. Total intelligence community: $98.2 billion (FY2023)
Section 1208 Authority
2005 NDAAScope: Predecessor to Section 1202. Allows US special forces to arm, train, and support foreign paramilitaries and militias.
Used for: Used to support Kurdish peshmerga in Iraq, Syrian Democratic Forces, various African militias, Colombian paramilitaries, and other proxy forces.
Congressional vote: Passed as part of defense authorization with minimal congressional awareness or debate.
Cost: $1.2 billion annually at peak (2015-2018). Funding through OCO and classified accounts.
War Powers Resolution of 1973
November 7, 1973Scope: Intended to reassert congressional war powers after Vietnam. Has been systematically ignored by every president since passage.
Used for: Presidents claim it's unconstitutional. Have consistently refused to comply with notification or withdrawal requirements. Military operations routinely exceed 60-day limit without congressional authorization.
Congressional vote: House: 284-135, Senate: 75-18. Passed over Nixon's veto.
Cost: Compliance cost: $0. No president has ever fully complied with the resolution.
💡 The Legal Absurdity
These six legal authorities allow the President to wage war anywhere on Earth, against any group, for any reason tangentially related to “terrorism” or “national security.” The 2001 AUMF — written for Al-Qaeda — is now used to bomb ISIS (formed 2013), Al-Shabaab (2006), and dozens of other groups that didn't exist on September 11. By this elastic logic, the 60 words passed three days after 9/11 could theoretically authorize military action forever, against anyone, anywhere. See our full analysis: 19 Wars Without Congress.
The Growth of America's Secret Army: 1980-2024
SOCOM doesn't exist yet. Operation Eagle Claw (Iran hostage rescue) fails catastrophically, spurring special operations reform.
SOCOM established by Congress after Goldwater-Nichols Act. Centralizes special operations under single command.
September 11 attacks. SOCOM begins rapid expansion. 2001 AUMF provides legal framework for global operations.
McChrystal transforms JSOC into "industrial counterterrorism killing machine." Peak Iraq surge operations.
Obama's "light footprint" warfare. Drone strikes peak. Kill list formalized. Libya intervention.
Counter-ISIS campaign at peak. SOCOM operates on every continent except Antarctica.
Trump removes civilian casualty restrictions. SOCOM budget exceeds State Department entire budget.
Biden continues expansion despite Afghanistan withdrawal. New focus on "great power competition" with China and Russia.
89%
Personnel growth since 9/11
323%
Budget growth since 9/11
335%
Country presence growth
100%
Of presidents who expanded this
Death From Above: Drone Strikes by Country
Pakistan
2004-2018Total Strikes
431 strikes
People Killed
4,024-10,076 people
Civilians
424-969 civilians
Children
172-207 children
Peak year: 2010: 128 strikes under Obama
Legal basis: 2001 AUMF (Al-Qaeda), CIA Title 50 authority
Stopped after Pakistan formally objected in 2018. Operated from Shamsi Airbase until 2011.
Yemen
2002-2024Total Strikes
400+ strikes
People Killed
1,500-2,400 people
Civilians
200-400+ civilians
Children
50+ children
Peak year: 2017: 130 strikes under Trump
Legal basis: 2001 AUMF (AQAP), self-defense against Houthis
Ongoing. Strikes increased 300% under Trump. Al-Awlaki family killed here.
Somalia
2007-2024Total Strikes
280+ strikes
People Killed
1,200-1,750 people
Civilians
50-100+ civilians
Children
10+ children
Peak year: 2020: 54 strikes under Trump
Legal basis: 2001 AUMF (Al-Shabaab allegedly tied to AQ)
Longest-running drone campaign. "Areas of active hostilities" designation removes civilian protections.
Libya
2011-2020Total Strikes
600+ strikes
People Killed
600-1,000 people
Civilians
50-100+ civilians
Children
15+ children
Peak year: 2016: 496 strikes under Obama
Legal basis: Initially humanitarian intervention, later counter-ISIS
Massive escalation after Gaddafi's fall. Country remains in chaos.
Syria
2014-2024Total Strikes
17,000+ strikes
People Killed
15,000+ ISIS fighters
Civilians
1,600+ civilians (Airwars)
Children
300+ children
Peak year: 2017: 12,192 strikes under Trump
Legal basis: Collective self-defense of Iraq (disputed)
No congressional authorization. US troops remain illegally under international law.
Iraq
2014-2024Total Strikes
16,000+ strikes
People Killed
20,000+ ISIS fighters
Civilians
1,200+ civilians
Children
250+ children
Peak year: 2017: 7,968 strikes
Legal basis: 2001 AUMF (ISIS), Iraqi government invitation
Resumed bombing after 2011 withdrawal. Mosul campaign devastated city.
The Human Cost
Total confirmed minimum: 47,000+ people killed in drone and air strikes since 2001. Conservative estimates of civilian casualties: 7,500+ civilians killed, including1,800+ children. These numbers are likely vast underestimates due to classification, remote locations, and the US government's practice of counting all military-age males as combatants. For detailed cost analysis, see: Cost Per Life.
CIA Covert Operations: A History of Blowback
The CIA has conducted thousands of covert operations since 1947. Most remain classified. Here are six major operations that illustrate a consistent pattern: short-term tactical gains that create long-term strategic disasters. The common thread: actions taken in secret, without democratic oversight, that ultimately harm American security and global stability.
Operation Cyclone
1979-1989Afghanistan/PakistanCost: $3.2 billion (largest CIA operation in history)
Operation: CIA arms and trains mujahideen to fight Soviet occupation. Creates networks that later become Taliban and Al-Qaeda.
Outcome: Soviet withdrawal, but Afghanistan remains in chaos. Many US weapons end up with anti-American fighters.
Blowback: Osama bin Laden and much of Al-Qaeda leadership trained and equipped by CIA. 9/11 attacks partially result of this operation.
Operation Phoenix
1967-1971South VietnamCost: $1+ billion
Operation: CIA program to identify and "neutralize" Viet Cong infrastructure through assassination, torture, and imprisonment.
Outcome: 26,369 alleged Viet Cong killed, 33,358 captured. Many innocent civilians murdered. Did not prevent US defeat.
Blowback: Torture techniques developed in Phoenix later used in Central America, Iraq, and Afghanistan.
Iran-Contra
1981-1987Nicaragua/IranCost: $47+ million illegally diverted
Operation: Reagan administration illegally sells weapons to Iran to fund Nicaraguan Contras after Congress banned aid.
Outcome: Congressional hearings, multiple convictions (later pardoned). Nicaragua remains impoverished.
Blowback: Constitutional crisis. Contras engaged in drug trafficking. Iranian weapons used against US forces.
Bay of Pigs Invasion
1961CubaCost: $46 million
Operation: CIA-trained Cuban exiles attempt to overthrow Castro government.
Outcome: Complete failure. 118 killed, 1,202 captured. Castro consolidates power.
Blowback: Pushes Cuba into Soviet sphere. Leads to Cuban Missile Crisis (1962). Failed assassination attempts on Castro.
Operation Condor
1975-1983South AmericaCost: Unknown (classified)
Operation: US supports network of South American dictatorships conducting transnational assassinations and disappearances.
Outcome: 60,000+ killed or disappeared. Democracy destroyed across the region.
Blowback: Mass refugee flows to US. Drug cartels fill power vacuum. Anti-American sentiment throughout region.
Timber Sycamore
2012-2017SyriaCost: $1+ billion annually
Operation: CIA program to arm and train Syrian rebels to overthrow Assad government.
Outcome: Program shut down after rebels fight each other and join jihadist groups. Assad remains in power.
Blowback: US weapons end up with ISIS and Al-Qaeda affiliates. Prolonged Syrian civil war, massive refugee crisis.
The Pattern: Covert Action Creates More Enemies
Every major CIA covert operation since 1947 has followed the same trajectory: initial success, unintended consequences, and eventual blowback that harms US security. The 9/11 attacks were largely the result of Operation Cyclone — the CIA's arming of mujahideen in Afghanistan. ISIS emerged from the chaos of the Iraq War. The refugee crisis in Europe stems partly from US interventions in Libya and Syria. Secret operations inevitably produce public disasters. Related analysis: Lies That Started Wars.
💡 Did You Know: The Tongo Tongo Ambush
On October 4, 2017, a 12-man US Army Special Forces team (ODA 3212) was ambushed by an estimated 50+ ISIS-affiliated fighters near the village of Tongo Tongo in southwestern Niger. Four American soldiers were killed: Staff Sgt. Bryan Black, Staff Sgt. Jeremiah Johnson, Staff Sgt. Dustin Wright, and Sgt. La David Johnson.
The ambush exposed what the American public didn't know: the US had approximately 800 troops in Niger, operating from a $110 million drone base (Air Base 201 near Agadez). Even members of the Senate Armed Services Committee were shocked.
The Pentagon investigation revealed systemic failures: the mission had exceeded its authorized scope, the team had inadequate training and equipment for the threat environment, intelligence was flawed, and the chain of command had approved a mission profile beyond what was sanctioned. It took 48 hours to recover Sgt. La David Johnson's body — French and Nigerien forces eventually found him.
No senior officer was held accountable. The incident briefly made headlines, then disappeared. US operations in Africa continued and expanded. The pattern held: Americans fight and die in secret wars, the public finds out by accident, there's brief outrage, then nothing changes.
The Disposition Matrix: Industrialized Killing
The “disposition matrix,” revealed by the Washington Post in 2012, is a database maintained by the National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) that contains the names of suspected terrorists and the recommended method of “disposition” — capture, kill, or continued surveillance. It is, in essence, a permanent kill list designed to extend beyond any single presidential administration.
The matrix integrates intelligence from the CIA, NSA, JSOC, FBI, and foreign partner agencies. For each target, it includes biographical information, intelligence assessments, network analysis, and the recommended course of action. For “kill” recommendations, it includes the preferred method (drone strike, special operations raid, or partner force operation) and the assessed civilian casualty risk.
The disposition matrix was designed to be self-perpetuating. When a target is killed, the intelligence gathered from the strike (phone records, documents, digital media) is fed back into the system to generate new targets. Each killing produces new intelligence that identifies new targets that are added to the matrix — an ever-expanding cycle of targeted killing with no natural endpoint.
As one senior Obama administration official told the Post: “We can't possibly kill everyone who wants to harm us... but we've built an infrastructure to keep killing them for the foreseeable future.” The phrase “for the foreseeable future” is the quiet part said loud — this system is designed to operate forever.
40,000+
Names in disposition matrix (est. 2016)
18
Intelligence agencies contributing
7,500+
People killed from matrix (est.)
24/7/365
Operating hours
∞
Planned end date
0
Congressional oversight
Congressional Oversight: Missing in Action
The Constitution gives Congress the power to declare war, raise armies, and regulate military spending. In practice, Congress has abdicated all three responsibilities when it comes to shadow wars. The result: the world's most powerful military operates with virtually no legislative oversight.
What Congress Doesn't Know
- • JSOC's classified budget and operations
- • CIA paramilitary activities worldwide
- • Drone strike target selection and approval
- • Special operations casualty figures
- • Partner force activities and civilian casualties
- • Section 1202 and 1208 program details
- • Intelligence sharing with foreign militaries
What Congress Pretends Not to Know
- • US troops fighting in Syria, Somalia, Niger
- • Proxy wars in Yemen, Libya, multiple African countries
- • Support for Saudi coalition bombing Yemen
- • Training foreign forces that commit atrocities
- • Arms sales to regimes that sponsor terrorism
- • Intelligence operations leading to civilian deaths
- • War crimes by US partners using American weapons
The Gang of Eight: Oversight Theater
The most sensitive intelligence operations are reported only to the “Gang of Eight” — the Speaker and Minority Leader of the House, the Majority and Minority Leaders of the Senate, and the chairs and ranking members of the intelligence committees. In practice, this creates a system where eight members of Congress know what the other 527 don't.
House Leadership
Speaker, Minority Leader
Senate Leadership
Majority, Minority Leaders
House Intel
Chair, Ranking Member
Senate Intel
Chair, Ranking Member
Gang of Eight members cannot discuss classified briefings with staff, colleagues, or the public. They cannot take notes. They cannot consult lawyers. They can only listen — and they cannot stop operations they object to.
Case Study: Senator Lindsey Graham's Niger Moment
On October 21, 2017, Senator Lindsey Graham — a member of the Armed Services Committee for 15 years — appeared on Meet the Press after the Niger ambush that killed four US soldiers. Host Chuck Todd asked if he knew there were US troops in Niger.
Graham: “I didn't know there was 1,000 troops in Niger.”
Todd: “You sit on the Armed Services Committee. How is it that you don't know?”
Graham: “They're doing a lot of things I don't know about.”
Graham's admission crystallized the problem: even senior members of relevant committees don't know where American soldiers are fighting and dying. If Congress doesn't know, how can the American people? And if the people don't know, how is this a democracy?
The Shadow War Economy: Who Profits From Secret Operations
Shadow wars are big business. The companies that build the drones, satellites, and specialized equipment for covert operations have strong incentives to keep the machinery of secret warfare running. Unlike conventional wars that generate public opposition, shadow wars can continue indefinitely with minimal political cost — a contractor's dream scenario.
Top Shadow War Contractors
Private Military Contractors
The revolving door between the Pentagon, CIA, and defense contractors is particularly pronounced in the shadow war sector. Former SOCOM commanders routinely join drone manufacturers. Ex-CIA officials start consulting firms. NSA alumni found cybersecurity companies. The people who plan secret wars profit from them after leaving government.
The Hellfire Missile Economy
Each Hellfire missile costs approximately $115,000. The US has fired an estimated14,000+ Hellfire missiles in targeted killings since 2001 — roughly $1.6 billion in missiles alone, not counting the drones, satellites, bases, personnel, and intelligence apparatus required to deliver them.
Lockheed Martin, which makes Hellfire missiles, earned approximately $184 million annuallyfrom drone-launched missile sales at the peak of the targeted killing program (2010-2016). Each “precision strike” represents a $115,000 purchase order. From an accountant's perspective, peace is bad for business.
Related reading: Private Armies examines the role of contractors in modern warfare, while Silicon Valley and the Pentagon explores how tech companies profit from surveillance and cyber warfare.
Violating International Law: America's Legal Exceptionalism
Under international law, military force on another nation's territory is legal only in three circumstances: (1) with that nation's consent, (2) in collective self-defense under Article 51 of the UN Charter, or (3) with UN Security Council authorization. Most US shadow wars violate all three.
Legal Operations (Per Int'l Law)
- • Iraq (2014-): Iraqi government invitation
- • Afghanistan (2001-2021): UN authorization post-9/11
- • Djibouti: Base agreements, government consent
Illegal Operations (Per Int'l Law)
- • Syria (2014-): No government consent, dubious self-defense claim
- • Pakistan (2004-2018): Covert strikes without formal consent
- • Yemen: Limited government consent, massive civilian casualties
- • Somalia: Weak government, elastic self-defense justification
- • Libya (2011, 2014-2020): Exceeded UN mandate, no government
The “Unwilling or Unable” Doctrine
To justify strikes in countries like Pakistan and Yemen, the US invokes the “unwilling or unable” doctrine — claiming the right to use force in a state that is “unwilling or unable” to prevent terrorist attacks from its territory. Problem: this doctrine doesn't exist in international law.
The doctrine is purely a US invention, rejected by most international legal scholars and never endorsed by the UN or International Court of Justice. It essentially claims the US can bomb any country if it decides that country isn't doing enough to stop terrorism — a recipe for permanent global war.
War Crimes and Shadow Operations
Several aspects of shadow wars may constitute war crimes under the Geneva Conventions and Rome Statute:
- • Targeting civilians: Signature strikes on unknown individuals
- • Excessive force: Hellfire missiles against unconfirmed combatants
- • Medical facilities: Kunduz hospital (2015), multiple Yemen facilities
- • Schools and mosques: Regular targets in Pakistan, Afghanistan, Somalia
- • Weddings and funerals: At least 12 wedding parties bombed since 2001
- • Double-tap strikes: Follow-up strikes targeting rescuers
The US is not a party to the International Criminal Court, so American officials enjoy effective immunity from war crimes prosecution. This legal impunity enables the continuation of operations that would be prosecuted if conducted by smaller nations.
The Black Budget: Money You Can't Track
$13.1B
SOCOM official budget (FY2023)
$71.7B
National Intelligence Program (FY2023)
$26.6B
Military Intelligence Program (FY2023)
$886B
Total DOD budget (FY2024)
Classified
JSOC operational budget
Classified
CIA paramilitary budget
SOCOM's official budget of $13.1 billion (FY2023) does not include the cost of operations funded through other accounts — Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO), CIA paramilitary funds, classified intelligence programs, and host-nation support. The true cost of America's shadow wars is unknowable by design.
The “black budget” — the combined classified budgets of all 18 intelligence agencies — was approximately $98 billion in FY2023. This money is appropriated by Congress but its allocation is known only to a handful of committee members. The public — whose taxes fund these operations — has no idea how the money is spent, or on what.
The Libertarian Case: Secret Wars Are the Death of Democracy
The Founders understood, with painful clarity born of experience, that the power to wage war is the most dangerous power a government can possess. That is why they gave it to Congress — the branch closest to the people, the branch that must face voters, the branch designed for deliberation and debate. James Madison wrote: “The Constitution supposes, what the History of all Governments demonstrates, that the Executive is the branch of power most interested in war, and most prone to it. It has accordingly with studied care vested the question of war in the Legislature.”
Today, the President of the United States can order the killing of any person on Earth — including American citizens — without a trial, without a warrant, without congressional authorization, and without public knowledge. Special operations forces wage war in 134+ countries under classified orders. The CIA conducts paramilitary operations that are officially denied. Drone strikes eliminate people whose identities are unknown based on behavioral patterns observed from 10,000 feet.
This is not what the Founders envisioned. It is the precise opposite. Secret wars concentrate the most lethal power in the hands of the executive — exactly what the Constitution was designed to prevent. A government that can kill in secret, with no accountability, is not a democracy. It is a tyranny with better PR.
The 2001 AUMF — 60 words drafted in the panic after 9/11 — has become the legal basis for a permanent global war. Congress has abdicated its most solemn responsibility. Presidents of both parties have eagerly seized the power Congress surrendered. And the American people, kept in the dark about where their troops are fighting and dying, cannot exercise the informed consent that democracy requires.
The solution is straightforward: repeal the 2001 AUMF. Require congressional authorization for any military deployment longer than 30 days. Declassify SOCOM operations. Subject the “kill list” to judicial review. And remember what the Founders knew: that a government trusted with the power to wage secret wars will wage them forever, against ever-expanding lists of enemies, until the republic itself is consumed.
Sources & Further Reading
Books & Investigations
- • Jeremy Scahill, Dirty Wars: The World Is a Battlefield (2013)
- • Nick Turse, Tomorrow's Battlefield: US Proxy Wars and Secret Ops in Africa (2015)
- • Dana Priest & William Arkin, Top Secret America (2011)
- • Mark Mazzetti, The Way of the Knife: The CIA, a Secret Army, and a War at the Ends of the Earth (2013)
- • Daniel Klaidman, Kill or Capture: The War on Terror and the Soul of the Obama Presidency (2012)
- • Charlie Savage, Power Wars: Inside Obama's Post-9/11 Presidency (2015)
- • Steve Coll, Directorate S: The C.I.A. and America's Secret Wars in Afghanistan and Pakistan (2018)
Government & Academic Sources
- • Brown University Costs of War Project, “US Counterterrorism Operations 2018–2020”
- • Congressional Research Service, “US Special Operations Forces” (2023)
- • DOD Africa Command (AFRICOM) posture statements and testimony (2020-2024)
- • Pentagon investigation into Tongo Tongo ambush (Army AR 15-6, 2018)
- • Senate Armed Services Committee hearings on SOCOM budget and operations
- • Stephanie Savell, “The Costs of United States Post-9/11 'Security Assistance'” (Brown University, 2023)
- • Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs, “Summary of Findings” (2021)
Journalism & Reporting
- • New York Times, “Secret 'Kill List' Proves a Test of Obama's Principles and Will” (May 29, 2012)
- • Washington Post, “Plan for Hunting Terrorists Signals US Intends to Keep Adding Names to Kill Lists” (Oct 23, 2012)
- • Bureau of Investigative Journalism, comprehensive drone strike databases
- • Airwars civilian casualty monitoring project
- • The Intercept, “The Drone Papers” series (2015)
- • ProPublica investigations into special operations and civilian casualties
- • Associated Press, “American Hostage” investigation into CIA torture program
Legal & Policy Analysis
- • Columbia Law School Human Rights Clinic, “The Civilian Impact of Drones” (2017)
- • Stanford/NYU Law Schools, “Living Under Drones” (2012)
- • American Civil Liberties Union, “A License to Kill” legal analysis (2020)
- • International Committee of the Red Cross, “Direct Participation in Hostilities” (2009)
- • UN Special Rapporteur reports on extrajudicial executions (Alston, Heyns, Callamard)
- • Council on Foreign Relations, “Reforming U.S. Drone Strike Policies” (2018)
- • Cato Institute, “Drone Wars” policy analysis series
💡 Want Real-Time Data?
For live tracking of US military operations and costs, visit our Iran Cost Per Second page. Historical analysis of war authorizations is available at 19 Wars Without Congress. Specific conflict data can be found on our Conflicts database.
Related Analysis
The Surveillance State
NSA, mass surveillance, and the death of privacy after 9/11.
Torture Program
Enhanced interrogation, black sites, and systematic torture.
19 Wars Without Congress
How presidents stole the war power the Constitution gave to Congress.
Private Armies
Mercenaries, contractors, and the privatization of war.
Sanctions Warfare
Economic weapons that kill more than bombs.
Cost Per Life
What America spends to kill each person in each war.
🌍 Explore Specific Conflicts
For detailed analysis of current conflicts, cost tracking, and historical context: