Analysis

War and Debt

Every major American war has been financed primarily by borrowing. The post-9/11 wars are unique in one respect: for the first time in history, the United States cut taxes during wartime. The result is $8 trillion in war-related debt, with interest payments that now exceed the entire federal education budget β€” and the bill is still growing.

The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan were put on a credit card. The generation that started them will not live to pay for them. Your grandchildren will.

By the Numbers

$8T+

Estimated cost of post-9/11 wars including future obligations and interest

Brown University Costs of War Project

$1.1T

Interest already paid on post-9/11 war borrowing through 2023

Costs of War Project

$6.5T

Projected additional interest costs on war debt through 2050

CBO + Costs of War estimates

0

Post-9/11 wars financed by tax increases β€” all borrowed

Congressional Research Service

$925B

Annual federal interest payments (FY2024) β€” now larger than defense spending

US Treasury

3.3%

Share of GDP spent on net interest (FY2024) β€” highest since 1992

CBO

How America Paid for Every War

From the Continental Congress printing worthless paper currency to George W. Bush putting two wars on a credit card while cutting taxes, every generation of American leaders has found a way to defer the cost of war onto someone else β€” usually future taxpayers who had no say in the matter.

Revolutionary War (1775–1783)

$101M ($2.4B adjusted)
How financed: Continental currency, French/Dutch loans, domestic bonds
Debt after: $75M

Continental dollar inflated 99%. "Not worth a Continental" became an idiom. Congress had no taxing power.

War of 1812 (1812–1815)

$105M ($1.8B adjusted)
How financed: Treasury bonds, some tax revenue
Debt after: $127M

National debt doubled. Government nearly defaulted. Led to creation of Second Bank of the United States.

Mexican-American War (1846–1848)

$71M ($2.4B adjusted)
How financed: Treasury bonds, tariff revenue
Debt after: $63M

Financed partly by existing revenue. One of the few wars that didn't cause a debt crisis.

Civil War (1861–1865)

$5.2B ($80B adjusted) β€” Union only
How financed: Greenbacks (paper money), war bonds, income tax (first ever), tariffs
Debt after: $2.68B

National debt increased 4,200%. First income tax in US history. Confederacy financed by printing money β€” hyperinflation destroyed their economy.

Spanish-American War (1898)

$283M ($9.6B adjusted)
How financed: War bonds, excise taxes
Debt after: $1.4B

Short war, moderate cost. But ongoing Philippines occupation cost more than the war itself.

World War I (1917–1918)

$32B ($610B adjusted)
How financed: Liberty Bonds ($21.5B), income tax increases, War Revenue Act
Debt after: $25.5B

Top income tax rate raised to 77%. Liberty Bond campaigns made buying government debt a patriotic duty.

World War II (1941–1945)

$296B ($4.1T adjusted)
How financed: War Bonds ($185B), massive income tax expansion, Victory Tax
Debt after: $269B (120% of GDP)

Top income tax rate: 94%. Number of taxpayers expanded from 4M to 43M. Debt-to-GDP peaked at 120% β€” a record not approached until 2020.

Korean War (1950–1953)

$30B ($341B adjusted)
How financed: Income tax increases (Revenue Act of 1950), some borrowing
Debt after: $266B

One of the few wars partially financed by taxes. Truman raised taxes over Republican objections. Debt-to-GDP actually fell.

Vietnam War (1965–1975)

$111B ($950B adjusted)
How financed: Income tax surcharge (1968), deficit spending, inflation
Debt after: $533B

LBJ tried to fund both the war and Great Society without raising taxes until 1968. Result: inflation that lasted a decade.

Gulf War (1990–1991)

$61B ($116B adjusted)
How financed: Allied contributions ($53B), some US borrowing
Debt after: $4.0T

The "paid-for" war. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Japan, and Germany covered 88% of costs. The last time allies actually paid up.

War on Terror (2001–present)

$8T+ (including future obligations)
How financed: 100% deficit financing β€” no tax increases, multiple tax cuts during wartime
Debt after: $34T+ (2024)

First time in US history that taxes were CUT during wartime. Bush passed $1.35T in tax cuts in June 2001, then $350B more in 2003 during the Iraq invasion.

The Interest Bomb: War Debt That Keeps Growing

The wars themselves may be winding down, but the interest on war debt is accelerating. By 2050, the total interest paid on post-9/11 war borrowing is projected to exceed $6.5 trillion β€” more than double the direct cost of the wars themselves. This is the true cost of fighting on credit: the interest compounds long after the last shot is fired.

2001
War debt: $0
Interest: $0
Cumulative: $0
2005
War debt: $700B
Interest: $50B
Cumulative: $50B
2010
War debt: $1.6T
Interest: $185B
Cumulative: $235B
2015
War debt: $2.1T
Interest: $260B
Cumulative: $495B
2020
War debt: $2.7T
Interest: $340B
Cumulative: $835B
2023
War debt: $3.0T
Interest: $275B
Cumulative: $1.1T
2030
War debt: $3.2T (est)
Interest: $400B/yr (est)
Cumulative: $3.9T
2040
War debt: $3.2T (est)
Interest: $500B/yr (est)
Cumulative: $8.5T
2050
War debt: $3.2T (est)
Interest: $550B/yr (est)
Cumulative: $14T

What We Pay in Interest vs. What We Invest

In fiscal year 2024, net interest on the federal debt β€” $925 billion β€” surpassed the entire Department of Defense budget for the first time. A significant portion of that interest is attributable to war borrowing. Here's how interest compares to everything else the government does:

Net Interest on Federal Debt

$925B(14.3% of budget)

Now the single largest "program" in the federal budget

Department of Defense

$886B(13.6% of budget)

Interest payments now exceed the Pentagon budget

Department of Education

$79B(1.2% of budget)

War interest payments are 14x the entire education budget

Department of Veterans Affairs

$301B(4.6% of budget)

Cost of caring for veterans of the wars we borrowed to fight

Department of Transportation

$105B(1.6% of budget)

Every bridge, highway, and airport combined

EPA

$12B(0.2% of budget)

Interest on war debt could fund the EPA 77 times over

NASA

$25B(0.4% of budget)

Interest on war debt could fund 37 NASAs

NIH (National Institutes of Health)

$47B(0.7% of budget)

All medical research combined is 5% of annual interest payments

Cutting Taxes While Fighting Wars: A Historic First

In every previous American war, the government either raised taxes or asked citizens to buy war bonds β€” or both. The post-9/11 era broke this pattern completely. George W. Bush cut taxes three months before 9/11, then cut them again during the Iraq invasion. The message was unprecedented: fight two wars, sacrifice nothing, charge it to your grandchildren.

Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act

2001$1.35T (10-year)

Signed June 7, 2001 β€” three months before 9/11. Reduced top income tax rate from 39.6% to 35%. When war came, taxes stayed cut.

Job Creation and Worker Assistance Act

2002$42B

Extended business depreciation benefits while troops were fighting in Afghanistan.

Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act

2003$350B (10-year)

Signed May 28, 2003 β€” two months after the Iraq invasion. Cut capital gains and dividend taxes while borrowing for a second simultaneous war.

Working Families Tax Relief Act

2004$146B

Extended earlier cuts. At this point US had 160,000 troops in Iraq. All financed by debt.

Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act

2006$70B

Extended capital gains cuts. Iraq was in full civil war. Debt climbed past $8.5 trillion.

Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance Reauthorization Act

2010$858B (2-year)

Obama extended Bush tax cuts for all income levels. Afghan surge ongoing with 100,000 troops deployed.

Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

2017$1.9T (10-year)

Trump's tax overhaul. Reduced corporate rate from 35% to 21%. US still at war in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen, Somalia, Libya.

Sacrifice Then vs. Now

During World War II, the top income tax rate was 94%. Americans bought war bonds, rationed food, and collected scrap metal. During the War on Terror, the top tax rate was cut, no bonds were sold, and President Bush told Americans to β€œgo shopping.” The contrast defines two entirely different conceptions of what it means to be at war.

World War II

Top Tax Rate94%
War BondsYes β€” $185B sold
Shared SacrificeYes β€” shared sacrifice across all classes
RationingYes β€” food, gas, rubber, metal

Result: Debt high but economy boomed. Paid off in 20 years.

Korean War

Top Tax Rate92%
War BondsSome
Shared SacrificeYes β€” universal draft
RationingLimited

Result: Debt-to-GDP actually fell during the war.

Vietnam War

Top Tax Rate77% β†’ 70%
War BondsNo
Shared SacrificeDraft β€” but deferments for wealthy
RationingNo

Result: Inflation crisis. Decade of economic pain.

War on Terror

Top Tax Rate39.6% β†’ 35% (cut)
War BondsNo
Shared SacrificeNo draft, no sacrifice asked
RationingNo β€” told to go shopping

Result: $8T+ in debt. Interest exceeds education budget. Still paying.

The Generational Burden: Who Pays for Wars They Didn't Choose

War debt is a form of intergenerational wealth transfer β€” from the young to the old, from the future to the present, from those who had no voice to those who chose not to listen. The post-9/11 wars were started by Baby Boomers, fought by Millennials, and will be paid for by Gen Z and Gen Alpha.

Baby Boomers (born 1946–1964)

$26,000 per person

Started the wars. Received tax cuts. Will not live to pay the interest.

Gen X (born 1965–1980)

$24,000 per person

Fought the wars. Bore the initial costs. Watched their tax dollars go to interest.

Millennials (born 1981–1996)

$24,000 per person

Grew up during the wars. Will pay the majority of interest costs. Got student debt instead of war bonds.

Gen Z (born 1997–2012)

$24,000 per person

Born after 9/11. Had no say in these wars. Will pay interest on them until 2050 and beyond.

Gen Alpha (born 2013+)

TBD β€” growing

Not yet born when these wars started. Will inherit trillions in war debt they had no voice in creating.

What $8 Trillion Could Have Bought Instead

The opportunity cost of war debt is staggering. Here is what the United States could have done with $8 trillion if it had not borrowed it to fight wars in the Middle East:

100 years

of fully funded public education at current levels

$24,000

for every man, woman, and child in the United States

320 NASAs

320 years of NASA funding at current budget

$1.9T

enough to eliminate all student loan debt β€” four times over

667 years

of EPA funding at current levels

170 years

of NIH medical research funding

β€œGo Shopping”: The Bush Doctrine of Deferred Pain

On September 20, 2001, President Bush addressed the nation and told Americans that the best way to fight terrorism was to β€œgo out and shop.” He later told reporters that Americans should β€œenjoy life, the way we want it to be enjoyed.” There would be no rationing. No war bonds. No draft. No tax increases. The wars would be invisible β€” fought by volunteers, financed by borrowing, and felt by no one except the families who sent their children to fight.

This was a deliberate political choice. The Bush administration understood that asking for sacrifice would erode public support for the wars. By making the wars painless for 99% of Americans, they ensured that the wars could continue indefinitely without significant opposition. The cost was simply deferred β€” charged to a credit card that future generations would have to pay off.

The strategy worked exactly as designed. The wars lasted twenty years. Trillions were spent. And most Americans couldn't tell you what we were fighting for, because they were never asked to sacrifice anything for it. A war that costs nothing feels like nothing β€” and a war that feels like nothing can last forever.

The Case Against War on Credit

Thomas Jefferson wrote: β€œThe principle of spending money to be paid by posterity, under the name of funding, is but swindling futurity on a large scale.” James Madison warned that β€œwar is the parent of armies; from these proceed debts and taxes; and armies, and debts, and taxes are the known instruments for bringing the many under the domination of the few.”

The Founders understood something that modern politicians have forgotten: if wars must be paid for in real time β€” through taxes, bonds, and sacrifice β€” then the people will demand that wars be short, necessary, and winnable. If wars can be financed by borrowing, then there is no political cost to starting them, no pressure to end them, and no accountability for the consequences.

Deficit-financed warfare is the greatest threat to fiscal conservatism in American history. The post-9/11 wars alone added more to the national debt than the entire New Deal, Great Society, and Affordable Care Act combined. Every dollar spent on interest payments for war debt is a dollar that cannot be spent on infrastructure, education, or tax reduction.

The solution is simple and radical: require that any war be paid for in real time, through taxes or bonds, from the moment the first bomb falls. If the American people are not willing to pay for a war while it is being fought, then the war is not worth fighting. This single reform would do more to prevent unnecessary wars than any arms control treaty or UN resolution ever written.

Sources

  • Brown University, Watson Institute β€” Costs of War Project, β€œU.S. Budgetary Costs and Obligations of Post-9/11 Wars” (2023)
  • Congressional Budget Office, β€œThe Budget and Economic Outlook” (FY2024)
  • Congressional Research Service, β€œCosts of Major U.S. Wars” (RS22926)
  • US Treasury Department, Monthly Treasury Statement and Debt to the Penny
  • Office of Management and Budget, Historical Tables
  • Tax Foundation, β€œFederal Tax Revenue by Source, 1934-2024”
  • Robert Hormats, The Price of Liberty: Paying for America's Wars (Times Books, 2007)
  • Joseph Stiglitz & Linda Bilmes, The Three Trillion Dollar War (W.W. Norton, 2008)
  • National Priorities Project, Federal Budget Analysis
  • Government Accountability Office, Financial Audit Reports